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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
30%
3.38
39%
2.56
31%
3.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
15.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
14.5%
Away win
1 – 0
14.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Brighton xG
Total xG
1.90
0.96
Everton xG
BrightonDrawEverton
3.38
30%
Home win
2.56
39%
Draw
3.19
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
38%
2.62
39%
2.54
Win to Nil
11%
8.86
12%
8.08
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.0 | 14.5 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.0 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.931
λ Away (xG)
0.964
Total xG
1.895
League avg home goals
1.469
League avg away goals
1.234
Brighton attack strength
0.976
Brighton defence strength
0.930
Everton attack strength
0.841
Everton defence strength
0.649
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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