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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
60%
1.67
21%
4.74
19%
5.22
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.2%
Draw
2 – 0
7.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.31
Brighton xG
Total xG
3.59
1.27
Burnley xG
BrightonDrawBurnley
1.67
60%
Home win
4.74
21%
Draw
5.22
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.92
Clean Sheet
28%
3.58
10%
10.10
Win to Nil
17%
5.98
2%
52.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.313
λ Away (xG)
1.274
Total xG
3.587
League avg home goals
1.487
League avg away goals
1.249
Brighton attack strength
1.091
Brighton defence strength
1.054
Burnley attack strength
0.967
Burnley defence strength
1.426
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 19