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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Brighton Win
54%
1.85
22%
4.47
24%
4.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
6.7%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.45
Brighton xG
Total xG
4.08
1.63
Bournemouth xG
BrightonDrawBournemouth
1.85
54%
Home win
4.47
22%
Draw
4.24
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
91%
Over 1.5
1.10
9%
Under 1.5
11.11
77%
Over 2.5
1.30
23%
Under 2.5
4.35
58%
Over 3.5
1.72
42%
Under 3.5
2.38
39%
Over 4.5
2.56
61%
Under 4.5
1.64
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
75%
BTTS Yes
1.33
25%
BTTS No
4.03
Clean Sheet
20%
5.12
9%
11.58
Win to Nil
11%
9.48
2%
49.14
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8.3 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.449
λ Away (xG)
1.634
Total xG
4.083
League avg home goals
1.480
League avg away goals
1.207
Brighton attack strength
1.057
Brighton defence strength
0.977
Bournemouth attack strength
1.385
Bournemouth defence strength
1.566
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59