🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bournemouth Win
35%
2.85
24%
4.15
41%
2.45
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.8%
Away win
2 – 1
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Brighton xG
Total xG
3.03
1.58
Bournemouth xG
BrightonDrawBournemouth
2.85
35%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
2.45
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.55
Clean Sheet
21%
4.86
24%
4.25
Win to Nil
7%
13.89
10%
10.41
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.448
λ Away (xG)
1.582
Total xG
3.030
League avg home goals
1.470
League avg away goals
1.563
Brighton attack strength
0.962
Brighton defence strength
0.820
Bournemouth attack strength
1.235
Bournemouth defence strength
1.024
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 64