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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Gtech Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

55%

Brentford

1.81

21%

Draw

4.87

24%

Nottingham Forest

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

3 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.52

Brentford xG

Total xG

4.20

1.68

Nottingham Forest xG

55%
21%
24%
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest

1.81

55%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.32

24%

BTTS No

4.12

Clean Sheet

19%

Brentford

5.38

8%

Nottingham Forest

12.38

Win to Nil

10%

Brentford

9.77

2%

Nottingham Forest

50.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
1 3.8 6.4 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.4
2 4.8 8.0 6.7 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 4.0 6.7 5.6 3.2 1.3 0.4
4 2.5 4.2 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.3
5 1.3 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.516
λ Away (xG) 1.683
Total xG 4.199
League avg home goals 1.624
League avg away goals 1.442
Brentford attack strength 1.487
Brentford defence strength 1.194
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.977
Nottingham Forest defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54