Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:30

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

74%

Brentford

1.35

15%

Draw

6.59

11%

Leeds

9.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

3 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.66

Brentford xG

Total xG

3.59

0.93

Leeds xG

74%
15%
BrentfordDrawLeeds

1.35

74%

Home win

6.59

15%

Draw

9.32

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

39%

Brentford

2.53

7%

Leeds

14.25

Win to Nil

29%

Brentford

3.42

1%

Leeds

132.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.4 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 9.8 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.7 8.0 3.7 1.2 0.3
4 5.8 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
5 3.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.657
λ Away (xG) 0.929
Total xG 3.586
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.275
Brentford attack strength 1.221
Brentford defence strength 0.943
Leeds attack strength 0.772
Leeds defence strength 1.388
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15