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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

71%

Brentford

1.41

15%

Draw

6.60

14%

Burnley

7.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

6.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.92

Brentford xG

Total xG

4.22

1.30

Burnley xG

71%
15%
14%
BrentfordDrawBurnley

1.41

71%

Home win

6.60

15%

Draw

7.06

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.20

Clean Sheet

27%

Brentford

3.66

5%

Burnley

18.63

Win to Nil

19%

Brentford

5.18

1%

Burnley

131.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
1 4.3 5.6 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 8.1 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.1 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 4.5 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 2.6 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.925
λ Away (xG) 1.297
Total xG 4.222
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.181
Brentford attack strength 1.234
Brentford defence strength 1.054
Burnley attack strength 1.042
Burnley defence strength 1.528
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 12