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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Brentford Community Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

58%

Brentford

1.73

18%

Draw

5.44

24%

Bournemouth

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.57

Brentford xG

Total xG

4.22

1.65

Bournemouth xG

58%
18%
24%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth

1.73

58%

Home win

5.44

18%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.34

25%

BTTS No

3.94

Clean Sheet

19%

Brentford

5.20

8%

Bournemouth

13.11

Win to Nil

11%

Brentford

9.01

2%

Bournemouth

54.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1
1 3.8 6.2 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.4
2 4.9 8.0 6.6 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 4.2 6.9 5.7 3.1 1.3 0.4
4 2.7 4.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3
5 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.573
λ Away (xG) 1.649
Total xG 4.222
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.270
Brentford attack strength 1.129
Brentford defence strength 0.956
Bournemouth attack strength 1.358
Bournemouth defence strength 1.473
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55