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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

42%

Bournemouth

2.38

26%

Draw

3.79

32%

Wolves

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.61

1.19

Wolves xG

42%
26%
32%
BournemouthDrawWolves

2.38

42%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

30%

Bournemouth

3.29

24%

Wolves

4.12

Win to Nil

13%

Bournemouth

7.83

8%

Wolves

13.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.8 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 12.4 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.8 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.417
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.609
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.336
Bournemouth attack strength 0.932
Bournemouth defence strength 0.895
Wolves attack strength 0.997
Wolves defence strength 1.071
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39