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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Wed 7 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tottenham Win

34%

Bournemouth

2.98

32%

Draw

3.17

35%

Tottenham

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.43

1.23

Tottenham xG

34%
32%
35%
BournemouthDrawTottenham

2.98

34%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

Bournemouth

3.41

30%

Tottenham

3.32

Win to Nil

10%

Bournemouth

10.17

11%

Tottenham

9.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 10.8 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.6 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.8 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.200
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.428
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.257
Bournemouth attack strength 0.895
Bournemouth defence strength 0.967
Tottenham attack strength 1.010
Tottenham defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58