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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

42%

Bournemouth

2.38

29%

Draw

3.51

29%

Manchester United

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.24

0.99

Manchester United xG

42%
29%
29%
BournemouthDrawManchester United

2.38

42%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

37%

Bournemouth

2.70

29%

Manchester United

3.47

Win to Nil

16%

Bournemouth

6.43

8%

Manchester United

11.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 10.6 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 2.239
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.408
Bournemouth attack strength 0.860
Bournemouth defence strength 0.806
Manchester United attack strength 0.876
Manchester United defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71