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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 19 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Manchester City Win

35%

Bournemouth

2.86

27%

Draw

3.64

38%

Manchester City

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.83

1.45

Manchester City xG

35%
27%
38%
BournemouthDrawManchester City

2.86

35%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

24%

Bournemouth

4.24

25%

Manchester City

3.99

Win to Nil

8%

Bournemouth

12.15

9%

Manchester City

10.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 8.5 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.2 11.8 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.2 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.385
λ Away (xG) 1.445
Total xG 2.830
League avg home goals 1.468
League avg away goals 1.230
Bournemouth attack strength 1.077
Bournemouth defence strength 0.975
Manchester City attack strength 1.205
Manchester City defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74