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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

35%

Bournemouth

2.82

30%

Draw

3.31

34%

Liverpool

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.95

1.46

Liverpool xG

35%
30%
34%
BournemouthDrawLiverpool

2.82

35%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

23%

Bournemouth

4.32

23%

Liverpool

4.43

Win to Nil

8%

Bournemouth

12.21

8%

Liverpool

12.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.6 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
1 7.8 11.4 8.3 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.5 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.9 4.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.488
λ Away (xG) 1.464
Total xG 2.952
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.197
Bournemouth attack strength 1.024
Bournemouth defence strength 1.047
Liverpool attack strength 1.169
Liverpool defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60