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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Wed 22 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

43%

Bournemouth

2.34

30%

Draw

3.31

27%

Leeds

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.57

1.12

Leeds xG

43%
30%
27%
BournemouthDrawLeeds

2.34

43%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

33%

Bournemouth

3.06

23%

Leeds

4.27

Win to Nil

14%

Bournemouth

7.16

6%

Leeds

15.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.4 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.9 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.452
λ Away (xG) 1.118
Total xG 2.570
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.249
Bournemouth attack strength 0.972
Bournemouth defence strength 0.987
Leeds attack strength 0.906
Leeds defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33