Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Tue 2 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

46%

Bournemouth

2.19

28%

Draw

3.53

26%

Everton

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.21

0.91

Everton xG

46%
28%
26%
BournemouthDrawEverton

2.19

46%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

40%

Bournemouth

2.48

27%

Everton

3.67

Win to Nil

18%

Bournemouth

5.43

7%

Everton

14.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.0 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 13.0 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.4 3.8 1.2 0.3
3 4.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.300
λ Away (xG) 0.907
Total xG 2.207
League avg home goals 1.508
League avg away goals 1.241
Bournemouth attack strength 1.049
Bournemouth defence strength 0.848
Everton attack strength 0.861
Everton defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51