Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

51%

Bournemouth

1.97

34%

Draw

2.99

16%

Everton

6.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

1.92

0.62

Everton xG

51%
34%
16%
BournemouthDrawEverton

1.97

51%

Home win

2.99

34%

Draw

6.36

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.78

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

54%

Bournemouth

1.87

27%

Everton

3.66

Win to Nil

27%

Bournemouth

3.68

4%

Everton

23.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
1 19.0 11.9 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 12.3 7.7 2.4 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.297
λ Away (xG) 0.624
Total xG 1.921
League avg home goals 1.467
League avg away goals 1.477
Bournemouth attack strength 0.897
Bournemouth defence strength 0.700
Everton attack strength 0.603
Everton defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 56