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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

41%

Bournemouth

2.45

28%

Draw

3.62

31%

Crystal Palace

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.80

1.29

Crystal Palace xG

41%
28%
31%
BournemouthDrawCrystal Palace

2.45

41%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

27%

Bournemouth

3.65

22%

Crystal Palace

4.49

Win to Nil

11%

Bournemouth

8.92

7%

Crystal Palace

14.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 11.9 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 8.9 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.796
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.235
Bournemouth attack strength 1.004
Bournemouth defence strength 1.059
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.990
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 71