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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

35%

Bournemouth

2.84

29%

Draw

3.43

36%

Brentford

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.20

1.10

Brentford xG

35%
29%
36%
BournemouthDrawBrentford

2.84

35%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

33%

Bournemouth

3.01

33%

Brentford

2.99

Win to Nil

12%

Bournemouth

8.53

12%

Brentford

8.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.7 7.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.4 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.095
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.197
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.487
Bournemouth attack strength 0.924
Bournemouth defence strength 0.692
Brentford attack strength 1.071
Brentford defence strength 0.820
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66