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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bournemouth Win
36%
2.80
30%
3.36
35%
2.90
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
Bournemouth xG
Total xG
3.02
1.50
Aston Villa xG
BournemouthDrawAston Villa
2.80
36%
Home win
3.36
30%
Draw
2.90
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.73
Clean Sheet
22%
4.46
22%
4.58
Win to Nil
8%
12.50
8%
13.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.7 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.521
λ Away (xG)
1.495
Total xG
3.016
League avg home goals
1.499
League avg away goals
1.252
Bournemouth attack strength
1.094
Bournemouth defence strength
1.050
Aston Villa attack strength
1.137
Aston Villa defence strength
0.928
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62