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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

14:05

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

69%

Aston Villa

1.44

20%

Draw

5.00

11%

Wolves

9.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.7%

Home win

3 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.56

0.61

Wolves xG

69%
20%
Aston VillaDrawWolves

1.44

69%

Home win

5.00

20%

Draw

9.40

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

54%

Aston Villa

1.84

14%

Wolves

7.06

Win to Nil

38%

Aston Villa

2.65

2%

Wolves

66.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 4.7 1.4 0.3
1 15.0 9.2 2.8 0.6 0.1
2 14.7 9.0 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 9.6 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 4.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
5 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.955
λ Away (xG) 0.610
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.244
Aston Villa attack strength 1.087
Aston Villa defence strength 0.777
Wolves attack strength 0.631
Wolves defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50