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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

14:15

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

44%

Aston Villa

2.28

29%

Draw

3.47

27%

West Ham

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.80

1.22

West Ham xG

44%
29%
27%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham

2.28

44%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

30%

Aston Villa

3.38

21%

West Ham

4.87

Win to Nil

13%

Aston Villa

7.71

6%

West Ham

17.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.6 11.7 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.9 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.583
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.252
Aston Villa attack strength 0.955
Aston Villa defence strength 0.959
West Ham attack strength 1.015
West Ham defence strength 1.196
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68