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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

16:30

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

57%

Aston Villa

1.76

24%

Draw

4.12

19%

West Ham

5.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

3.02

1.07

West Ham xG

57%
24%
19%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham

1.76

57%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

5.26

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

34%

Aston Villa

2.90

14%

West Ham

7.05

Win to Nil

20%

Aston Villa

5.12

3%

West Ham

37.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.2 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.5 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.953
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.564
Aston Villa attack strength 1.138
Aston Villa defence strength 0.869
West Ham attack strength 0.784
West Ham defence strength 1.166
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60