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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

45%

Aston Villa

2.20

28%

Draw

3.60

27%

Tottenham

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.66

1.13

Tottenham xG

45%
28%
27%
Aston VillaDrawTottenham

2.20

45%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

32%

Aston Villa

3.10

22%

Tottenham

4.64

Win to Nil

15%

Aston Villa

6.82

6%

Tottenham

17.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.9 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 12.1 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.3 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.534
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.664
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.230
Aston Villa attack strength 1.114
Aston Villa defence strength 1.056
Tottenham attack strength 0.870
Tottenham defence strength 0.950
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72