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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

59%

Aston Villa

1.70

21%

Draw

4.84

20%

Tottenham

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

3.26

1.16

Tottenham xG

59%
21%
20%
Aston VillaDrawTottenham

1.70

59%

Home win

4.84

21%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

31%

Aston Villa

3.18

12%

Tottenham

8.17

Win to Nil

19%

Aston Villa

5.40

2%

Tottenham

40.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.1 9.4 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.9 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.100
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 3.258
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.401
Aston Villa attack strength 1.187
Aston Villa defence strength 0.825
Tottenham attack strength 1.002
Tottenham defence strength 1.234
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74