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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

12:30

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

59%

Aston Villa

1.71

27%

Draw

3.69

14%

Nottingham Forest

7.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.29

0.68

Nottingham Forest xG

59%
27%
14%
Aston VillaDrawNottingham Forest

1.71

59%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

7.02

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

51%

Aston Villa

1.97

20%

Nottingham Forest

5.02

Win to Nil

30%

Aston Villa

3.37

3%

Nottingham Forest

35.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 6.9 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 16.3 11.1 3.8 0.9 0.1
2 13.1 8.9 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 7.1 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 1.9 0.7 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.614
λ Away (xG) 0.680
Total xG 2.294
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.247
Aston Villa attack strength 1.103
Aston Villa defence strength 0.727
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.750
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57