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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
40%
2.52
26%
3.89
35%
2.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 2
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.68
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
3.24
1.56
Liverpool xG
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
2.52
40%
Home win
3.89
26%
Draw
2.89
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.90
Clean Sheet
21%
4.76
19%
5.35
Win to Nil
8%
12.00
6%
15.46
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 10.3 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.678
λ Away (xG)
1.560
Total xG
3.238
League avg home goals
1.457
League avg away goals
1.221
Aston Villa attack strength
1.078
Aston Villa defence strength
1.120
Liverpool attack strength
1.140
Liverpool defence strength
1.068
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 74