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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
56%
1.79
28%
3.52
16%
6.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.2%
Home win
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
2.62
0.87
Leeds xG
Aston VillaDrawLeeds
1.79
56%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
6.29
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.98
50%
BTTS No
2.02
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
17%
5.74
Win to Nil
23%
4.27
3%
36.12
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.8 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.748
λ Away (xG)
0.867
Total xG
2.615
League avg home goals
1.463
League avg away goals
1.274
Aston Villa attack strength
0.974
Aston Villa defence strength
0.732
Leeds attack strength
0.929
Leeds defence strength
1.227
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
64 / 26