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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

55%

Aston Villa

1.83

24%

Draw

4.10

21%

Ipswich

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

3.01

1.11

Ipswich xG

55%
24%
21%
Aston VillaDrawIpswich

1.83

55%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

33%

Aston Villa

3.05

15%

Ipswich

6.67

Win to Nil

18%

Aston Villa

5.59

3%

Ipswich

31.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.5 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.3 10.4 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.2 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.898
λ Away (xG) 1.115
Total xG 3.013
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.537
Aston Villa attack strength 1.028
Aston Villa defence strength 0.887
Ipswich attack strength 0.818
Ipswich defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24