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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

49%

Aston Villa

2.05

24%

Draw

4.18

27%

Fulham

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.91

1.21

Fulham xG

49%
24%
27%
Aston VillaDrawFulham

2.05

49%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

30%

Aston Villa

3.36

18%

Fulham

5.47

Win to Nil

15%

Aston Villa

6.88

5%

Fulham

20.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.2 11.2 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.5 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.4 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.700
λ Away (xG) 1.212
Total xG 2.912
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.406
Aston Villa attack strength 1.218
Aston Villa defence strength 0.890
Fulham attack strength 0.969
Fulham defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72