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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
67%
1.48
18%
5.46
14%
7.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.9%
Home win
3 – 1
7.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.46
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
3.53
1.07
Burnley xG
Aston VillaDrawBurnley
1.48
67%
Home win
5.46
18%
Draw
7.00
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
47%
Over 3.5
2.13
53%
Under 3.5
1.89
28%
Over 4.5
3.57
72%
Under 4.5
1.39
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
9%
11.69
Win to Nil
23%
4.33
1%
81.88
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.459
λ Away (xG)
1.070
Total xG
3.529
League avg home goals
1.457
League avg away goals
1.203
Aston Villa attack strength
1.022
Aston Villa defence strength
1.020
Burnley attack strength
0.872
Burnley defence strength
1.651
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
44 / 6