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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
48%
2.09
23%
4.36
29%
3.44
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
1 – 0
7.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.81
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
3.17
1.37
Bournemouth xG
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
2.09
48%
Home win
4.36
23%
Draw
3.44
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.65
Clean Sheet
26%
3.92
16%
6.10
Win to Nil
12%
8.17
5%
20.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.808
λ Away (xG)
1.366
Total xG
3.174
League avg home goals
1.543
League avg away goals
1.176
Aston Villa attack strength
0.948
Aston Villa defence strength
0.902
Bournemouth attack strength
1.288
Bournemouth defence strength
1.236
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48