Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

61%

Arsenal

1.65

21%

Draw

4.68

18%

Crystal Palace

5.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.94

0.97

Crystal Palace xG

61%
21%
18%
ArsenalDrawCrystal Palace

1.65

61%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

5.58

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

38%

Arsenal

2.64

14%

Crystal Palace

7.19

Win to Nil

23%

Arsenal

4.34

2%

Crystal Palace

40.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 10.1 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 10.0 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.8 6.5 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.3 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.972
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.941
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.420
Arsenal attack strength 1.146
Arsenal defence strength 0.742
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.919
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71