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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
80%
1.26
14%
7.24
7%
15.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 0
10.4%
Home win
2 – 1
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.87
Arsenal xG
Total xG
3.63
0.77
Burnley xG
ArsenalDrawBurnley
1.26
80%
Home win
7.24
14%
Draw
15.34
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.96
49%
BTTS No
2.04
Clean Sheet
46%
2.15
6%
17.57
Win to Nil
37%
2.70
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.9 | 8.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 10.4 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.866
λ Away (xG)
0.766
Total xG
3.632
League avg home goals
1.481
League avg away goals
1.236
Arsenal attack strength
1.235
Arsenal defence strength
0.740
Burnley attack strength
0.838
Burnley defence strength
1.567
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 36