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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

60%

Arsenal

1.66

24%

Draw

4.12

15%

Bournemouth

6.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.97

0.95

Bournemouth xG

60%
24%
15%
ArsenalDrawBournemouth

1.66

60%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

6.46

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

38%

Arsenal

2.60

13%

Bournemouth

7.48

Win to Nil

23%

Arsenal

4.31

2%

Bournemouth

48.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
4 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.012
λ Away (xG) 0.955
Total xG 2.967
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.245
Arsenal attack strength 1.336
Arsenal defence strength 0.754
Bournemouth attack strength 1.016
Bournemouth defence strength 1.077
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69