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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

46%

Arsenal

2.18

24%

Draw

4.15

30%

Bournemouth

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.95

1.30

Bournemouth xG

46%
24%
30%
ArsenalDrawBournemouth

2.18

46%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

27%

Arsenal

3.65

19%

Bournemouth

5.24

Win to Nil

13%

Arsenal

7.96

6%

Bournemouth

17.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.7 11.2 7.3 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.3 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.1 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.656
λ Away (xG) 1.296
Total xG 2.952
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.394
Arsenal attack strength 1.133
Arsenal defence strength 0.822
Bournemouth attack strength 1.131
Bournemouth defence strength 0.989
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72