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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
64%
1.55
24%
4.23
12%
8.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
12.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
Arsenal xG
Total xG
2.84
0.80
Aston Villa xG
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
1.55
64%
Home win
4.23
24%
Draw
8.32
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
45%
2.23
13%
7.66
Win to Nil
29%
3.47
2%
63.73
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.9 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.2 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.036
λ Away (xG)
0.803
Total xG
2.839
League avg home goals
1.434
League avg away goals
1.516
Arsenal attack strength
1.177
Arsenal defence strength
0.650
Aston Villa attack strength
0.814
Aston Villa defence strength
1.207
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59