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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

72%

Swindon Town

1.39

18%

Draw

5.63

10%

Tranmere

9.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.44

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.29

0.85

Tranmere xG

72%
18%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere

1.39

72%

Home win

5.63

18%

Draw

9.55

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

43%

Swindon Town

2.33

9%

Tranmere

11.45

Win to Nil

31%

Swindon Town

3.25

1%

Tranmere

109.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 7.7 3.3 0.9 0.2
2 11.1 9.4 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 9.0 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.438
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 3.285
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.151
Swindon Town attack strength 1.221
Swindon Town defence strength 1.085
Tranmere attack strength 0.678
Tranmere defence strength 1.530
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 72