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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

66%

Swindon Town

1.50

19%

Draw

5.29

15%

Shrewsbury

6.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.38

1.02

Shrewsbury xG

66%
19%
15%
Swindon TownDrawShrewsbury

1.50

66%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

6.86

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

36%

Swindon Town

2.79

10%

Shrewsbury

10.49

Win to Nil

24%

Swindon Town

4.19

1%

Shrewsbury

71.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.0 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 9.7 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.4 7.6 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
5 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.350
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 3.375
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.121
Swindon Town attack strength 1.083
Swindon Town defence strength 1.236
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.739
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.690
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 4