Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

48%

Swindon Town

2.09

28%

Draw

3.62

25%

Port Vale

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.57

1.04

Port Vale xG

48%
28%
25%
Swindon TownDrawPort Vale

2.09

48%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

35%

Swindon Town

2.82

22%

Port Vale

4.65

Win to Nil

17%

Swindon Town

5.89

5%

Port Vale

18.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.2 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.162
Swindon Town attack strength 1.228
Swindon Town defence strength 1.080
Port Vale attack strength 0.825
Port Vale defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 28