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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

47%

Swindon Town

2.13

25%

Draw

4.00

28%

Notts County

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.74

1.16

Notts County xG

47%
25%
28%
Swindon TownDrawNotts County

2.13

47%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

31%

Swindon Town

3.20

21%

Notts County

4.84

Win to Nil

15%

Swindon Town

6.82

6%

Notts County

17.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.2 11.8 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.3 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.9 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.739
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.170
Swindon Town attack strength 1.212
Swindon Town defence strength 1.046
Notts County attack strength 0.951
Notts County defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58