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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

40%

Swindon Town

2.50

27%

Draw

3.65

33%

Harrogate Town

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.42

1.14

Harrogate Town xG

40%
27%
33%
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town

2.50

40%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

32%

Swindon Town

3.12

28%

Harrogate Town

3.62

Win to Nil

13%

Swindon Town

7.81

9%

Harrogate Town

11.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 10.1 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.4 13.0 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 8.3 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.287
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.424
League avg home goals 1.172
League avg away goals 1.145
Swindon Town attack strength 1.113
Swindon Town defence strength 1.199
Harrogate Town attack strength 0.828
Harrogate Town defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53