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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

12:30

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

51%

Swindon Town

1.96

26%

Draw

3.87

23%

Crewe

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.45

0.93

Crewe xG

51%
26%
23%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe

1.96

51%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

39%

Swindon Town

2.53

22%

Crewe

4.59

Win to Nil

20%

Swindon Town

4.96

5%

Crewe

19.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.0 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 13.1 12.2 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 2.453
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 1.167
Swindon Town attack strength 1.273
Swindon Town defence strength 0.876
Crewe attack strength 0.910
Crewe defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79