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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Swindon Town Win
58%
1.74
23%
4.40
20%
5.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
2 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.02
Swindon Town xG
Total xG
3.13
1.11
Crawley Town xG
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
1.74
58%
Home win
4.40
23%
Draw
5.08
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.43
Clean Sheet
33%
3.04
13%
7.52
Win to Nil
19%
5.28
3%
38.21
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.017
λ Away (xG)
1.111
Total xG
3.128
League avg home goals
1.336
League avg away goals
1.260
Swindon Town attack strength
1.018
Swindon Town defence strength
0.963
Crawley Town attack strength
0.915
Crawley Town defence strength
1.482
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 20