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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:00

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

39%

Swindon Town

2.59

26%

Draw

3.79

35%

Chesterfield

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.60

1.26

Chesterfield xG

39%
26%
35%
Swindon TownDrawChesterfield

2.59

39%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

28%

Swindon Town

3.53

26%

Chesterfield

3.82

Win to Nil

11%

Swindon Town

9.12

9%

Chesterfield

10.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.4 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.5 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.207
Swindon Town attack strength 1.148
Swindon Town defence strength 1.006
Chesterfield attack strength 1.037
Chesterfield defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91