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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

The Croud Meadow

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

28%

Shrewsbury

3.54

29%

Draw

3.45

43%

Notts County

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Shrewsbury xG

Total xG

2.17

1.23

Notts County xG

28%
29%
43%
ShrewsburyDrawNotts County

3.54

28%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

29%

Shrewsbury

3.41

39%

Notts County

2.56

Win to Nil

8%

Shrewsbury

12.08

17%

Notts County

5.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 14.0 8.6 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.8 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 5.1 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.940
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.168
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.168
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.885
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.000
Notts County attack strength 1.051
Notts County defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 77