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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

26%

Salford City

3.82

22%

Draw

4.51

52%

Swindon Town

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Salford City xG

Total xG

3.24

1.92

Swindon Town xG

26%
22%
52%
Salford CityDrawSwindon Town

3.82

26%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

15%

Salford City

6.84

27%

Swindon Town

3.73

Win to Nil

4%

Salford City

26.11

14%

Swindon Town

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.5 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.9
1 5.2 9.9 9.5 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.4 6.5 6.3 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.5 2.9 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.317
λ Away (xG) 1.923
Total xG 3.240
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.140
Salford City attack strength 1.186
Salford City defence strength 1.172
Swindon Town attack strength 1.440
Swindon Town defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54