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Salford City vs Notts County – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

The Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

39%

Salford City

2.58

28%

Draw

3.53

33%

Notts County

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.50

1.19

Notts County xG

39%
28%
33%
Salford CityDrawNotts County

2.58

39%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

30%

Salford City

3.29

27%

Notts County

3.72

Win to Nil

12%

Salford City

8.49

9%

Notts County

11.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.4 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.191
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.251
Salford City attack strength 0.933
Salford City defence strength 0.912
Notts County attack strength 1.043
Notts County defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64