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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

The Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

56%

Salford City

1.79

26%

Draw

3.92

19%

Newport County

5.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.62

0.90

Newport County xG

56%
26%
19%
Salford CityDrawNewport County

1.79

56%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

5.39

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

41%

Salford City

2.45

18%

Newport County

5.58

Win to Nil

23%

Salford City

4.39

3%

Newport County

30.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.5 11.3 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.720
λ Away (xG) 0.898
Total xG 2.618
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.151
Salford City attack strength 0.993
Salford City defence strength 0.845
Newport County attack strength 0.924
Newport County defence strength 1.328
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 71