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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Fri 15 May 2026

19:15

Venue

Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

38%

Salford City

2.62

29%

Draw

3.41

33%

Grimsby

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.17

1.03

Grimsby xG

38%
29%
33%
Salford CityDrawGrimsby

2.62

38%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

36%

Salford City

2.80

32%

Grimsby

3.13

Win to Nil

14%

Salford City

7.34

10%

Grimsby

9.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.7 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.4 7.6 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.141
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.171
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.199
Salford City attack strength 1.018
Salford City defence strength 0.771
Grimsby attack strength 1.114
Grimsby defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92