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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

The Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

50%

Salford City

2.01

26%

Draw

3.79

24%

Chesterfield

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.41

0.93

Chesterfield xG

50%
26%
24%
Salford CityDrawChesterfield

2.01

50%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

39%

Salford City

2.54

23%

Chesterfield

4.36

Win to Nil

20%

Salford City

5.12

5%

Chesterfield

18.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.8 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 1.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.472
λ Away (xG) 0.933
Total xG 2.405
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.058
Salford City attack strength 1.046
Salford City defence strength 1.062
Chesterfield attack strength 0.830
Chesterfield defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 34